What are the odds of this…
Posted by Xeno on June 19, 2012
Many months ago, before we got engaged, my fiancé and I drew a card each from a Tarot deck of 78 cards to gain insight into our relationship. I drew “Trust” and she drew “Integrity”.
This last weekend, I shuffled the same deck very well, and spread out all the cards, which are identical on the back, face down. In a relaxed state, not caring about the outcome, I ran my hand over the cards and with each one I touched, I visualized a color. I decided the one I picked would light up red. I stopped on that card and pulled it. It was her card from months ago, “Integrity”.
We laughed about it and I said I’d really flip out if she drew my card this time. I put “Integrity” back in the deck and shuffled it, then she shuffled it, spread them on the floor as I had done and picked… Yes, she picked my card from the last time, “Trust”!
She made some comments about reversed nodes in our astrological charts while I looked through the deck to make sure all the cards were different, that ours were the same as the others on the back and so on.
What are the odds of this happening?
Here is what I think the odds are. If you see any reason I am wrong, let me know. With 78 cards, the odds I’d get her card were 1 in 78. Next, the odds that she would get my card were also 1 in 78. Finally, the odds that we would get eachothers cards was the first probability times the second, or 1 in 6,084.
It is wild to have an example of an unlikely event happening just as we were debating the nature of reality, and just after I’d recently posted about how to find the odds of guessing 20 coin tosses correctly in a row.
Perhaps consciousness creates our universe more than my scientific mind will accept. Freaky deeky.
If we drew again and again got the same two cards, I think the odds of that would be one in 37 million 15 thousand and 56. (1 in 37,015,056).